Events to look out for next week

Thursday – 09 December 2021


  • Consumer Price Inflation (CNY 8:30Am)
China میں بھیRising inflation ہے اورUncertainty.Real estate والوں پر کافی پریشانیاں ہیں
(Evergrande & Kaisa the two highest profile) امید کی جاتی ہے کہInflation CPI اس بار%1.5 سے بڑھ کر%1.6 ہوگی اورPPI 13.5% سےبڑھ کر%14 آئے گی.
  • Weekly Claims (USD PKT 6:30Pm)
Last week 52-year low reading ہے222k اور دوبارہRevision ہوسکتی ہے194k تک.Seasonality factors اپنی ہیں.Evidence ہیں کہ
Tight US Jobs market continues اورNormal economic cycle 250- 260k ہے.

Friday – 10 December 2021


  • German Final CPI (EUR PKT 12:00Pm)
HICP steady رہ سکتاہے y/y at 6% اور m/m numbers بڑھ سکتےہیں%0.2- سے%0.0 (نومبر)
  • Industrial Production, Manufacturing Production and GDP (GBP PKT 12:00Pm)
UK سےData ہمیںContinued recovery دکھا سکتاہے.Industrial Production سے بڑھنے کی امید ہے.Last time یہ%0.4- تھا لیکن یہDecline میں ہی ہے.Manufacturing Production میںLast time 2.8% کے مقابلے میں اس بار%3.1 y/y تک تیزی آسکتی ہے.m/m GDP بھی%0.6 سے%0.7 تک جاسکتی ہے.
  • US Core CPI (USD PKT 6:30)
توقع ہے کہ%0.7 کے بالمقابل پچھلے ماہ کے%0.6 کے.Headline number میں بھی توقع ہے%1.1 کی بالمقابل Last time 0.9% کے. FedکاPreferred طریقہ Inflation کوناپنے کاPCE Price Index ہے.ابTransitory لفظ ختم ہوچکا ہے. اگلا سوال ہے کہ یہ کتنی مدت کے لیے ہوگی اور کتنیHigh prices ہوں گی.

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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