USDJPY: ” Buy the Dip” or not?

USDJPY, H1

The Greenback is underperforming so far going into the US session, presently sitting at near net unchanged levels against the Euro and Swiss Franc, while losing ground to the Dollar bloc and most emerging world currencies, the last two groups rising amid a lift in global stock markets.

The US Dollar is showing 0.2% loss against the Yen as well. USDJPY settled lower today after posting a fresh 6-week high of 111.13 during the Tokyo session. It is currently trading below 50-period EMA in the hourly chart, for the 1st time in a week. News that China moved to steady the Yuan helped cool trade retaliation concerns, though Trump upped the ante yesterday on the WTO and Friday looms with another $34 bln in tariffs vs China.

The pair reached 110.57 lows, after breaking below S1 and outside the lower Bollinger Bands pattern in the 1-hour chart. Despite the weakness noticed since this morning, momentum indicators suggest that the negative momentum is running out of steam and hence the swing lower could alert a “buying the dip” concept. This is due to the fact that most momentum indicators have flattened above the oversold territory barrier. RSI and Stochastic crossed below 50 today however both remain above the 30 barrier so far, while MACD oscillator slipped lower below its signal line but holds within the positive area.

The pair has immediate Support levels at 110.55 and 110.40 (200-period EMA and S2). Hence only a break below them could open the way to 109.90-110.15. If the pair manage to hold above 110.55 then it is likely to see a rebound back above PP level.

Intraday Support levels come at: 110.55, 110.40 and 110.17.

Intraday Resistance levels come at 111.85110.11 and 111.30.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

HotForex

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